Figure

Overall weather-driven forest fire danger in the present, and under two climate change scenarios

Figure Created 09 Dec 2021 Published 10 Dec 2021 Last modified 27 Jan 2022

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Climate change assessment of the Fire Weather Index (FWI) aggregated component, computed daily from 1980 to 2100 for five models (see Table 4 of de Rigo et al., 2017 https://doi.org/10.2760/13180 ). The daily FWI is computed for each scenario realisation based on a corresponding model. The entire time series has been estimated (from the end of the control period, the scenario RCP8.5 has been used) and the 90 % quantile of each time period has been computed. The median of the five model ensemble is shown for each period.